#161 Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism

Date

2017年12月14日

Venue

京都大学 防災研究所 大会議室 S519D

Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism


日時:12月14日 16:00-17:30

場所:京都大学 防災研究所 大会議室 S519D

   宇治市五ケ庄 最寄駅:JR黄檗(奈良線)、京阪黄檗

講師: Prof. Adam Rose

    Price School of Public Policy and Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California

講演題目:Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism

要旨:

Resilience is a powerful strategy for reducing losses from disasters. Its unique character pertains to how best to recover economic activity after a disaster has struck. This can be done by using remaining resources as effectively as possible and accelerating the repair and reconstruction of the capital stock. This presentation will focus on recent advances in measuring economic resilience in a variety of contexts, such as electricity outages, seaport disruptions, hurricanes, and earthquakes. Results of recent survey research will be presented and their implications for development of an economic resilience index will be described. A broader benefit-cost analysis framework will be explained for making resource allocation decisions, including trade-offs between (pre-event) mitigation and (post-event) resilience.

 


#160 Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic

Date

2017年11月7日

Venue

神戸大学六甲台第2キャンパス 自然科学総合研究棟3号館1階125室

Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic


– Date and time: 7th November, 4:50pm – 6:20pm
– Speaker: Dr. Adam J Pel, TU Delft, the Netherlands
– Title: “Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic, but not more complex”
– Venue: Room 125, Science & Technology Research Building No. 3, 1F
– Place : Rokkodai 2nd Campus, Department of Engineering, Kobe University.
http://www.kobe-u.ac.jp/en/campuslife/campus_guide/campus/rokkodai2.html

Abstract:
In this seminar I will talk about route choice models and traffic flow models as these are used in road network modelling. Road network models simulate drivers’ behaviour and how their decisions are both based on, and collectively lead to, the emerging traffic flows and congestion conditions.
I will present several existing types of models, from basic to complex, and discuss their underlying assumptions on traffic behaviour and their suitability for various modelling applications. I will present in more detail a few recent studies at Delft University of Technology on: a route choice model that incorporates dynamic rerouting behaviour; a static traffic flow model that incorporates ‘dynamic’ traffic flow congestion; and a first-order traffic flow model that incorporates some second-order traffic flow phenomena.Bio:
Dr. Adam Pel is Assistant Professor at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands. His main research field is the resilience of road transport systems. Pel’s research group studies, on the one hand how stochastics, uncertainty, dynamics and disruptions affect transport systems, including emergencies and evacuations, and on the other hands how network design, contingency planning, and mobility and traffic management can be strategically used to increase resiliency. In his research, he often uses network modelling as research method. These models are used to assess the dynamic performance of road transport systems regarding: human factors, infrastructure, services, technologies, policies, control measures and information flows. Pel’s research group develops models for more behavioural realism, faster computation, better use of (new) data, higher precision and accuracy. Furthermore, Pel works part-time at Fileradar, a university-spinoff company, where he is lead engineer for Fileradar’s predictive data analytics, used for traffic monitoring, information and control.


#159 29th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Traffic Management in the Era of Vehicle Automation and Communication Systems (VACS)

Date

2017年10月16日

Venue

東京工業大学 大岡山キャンパス 緑が丘6号館 Midorigaoka Build. #6, Ookayama Campus, Tokyo Institute of Technology

29th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Traffic Management in the Era of Vehicle Automation and Communication Systems (VACS)


Date:16th October (Mon.) 2017
 
Time:16:30 – 18:00
 
 
Title:Traffic Management in the Era of Vehicle Automation and Communication Systems (VACS)
Speaker:Prof. Markos Papageorgiou (Technical University of Crete)
 
Short Bio. of Prof. Markos Papageorgiou:
Markos Papageorgiou received the Diplom-Ingenieur and Doktor-Ingenieur (honors) degrees in Electrical Engineering from the Technical University of Munich, Germany, in 1976 and 1981, respectively. He was a Free Associate with Dorsch Consult, Munich (1982-1988), and with  Institute National de Recherche sur les Transports et leur Sécurité (INRETS), Arcueil, France (1986-1988). From 1988 to 1994 he was a Professor of Automation at the Technical University of Munich. Since 1994 he has been a Professor at the Technical University of Crete, Chania, Greece. He was a Visiting Professor at the Politecnico di Milano, Italy (1982), at the Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Paris (1985-1987), and at MIT, Cambridge (1997, 2000); and a Visiting Scholar at the University of California, Berkeley (1993, 1997, 2001, 2011) and other universities.
 
Dr. Papageorgiou is author or editor of 5 books and of over 450 technical papers. His research interests include automatic control and optimisation theory and applications to traffic and transportation systems, water systems and further areas. He was the Editor-in-Chief of Transportation Research Part C (2005-2012). He also served as an Associate Editor of IEEE Control Systems Society – Conference Editorial Board, of IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems and other journals. He is a Fellow of IEEE (1999) and a Fellow of IFAC (2013). He received a DAAD scholarship (1971-1976), the 1983 Eugen-Hartmann award from the Union of German Engineers (VDI), and a Fulbright Lecturing/Research Award (1997). He was a recipient of the IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Society Outstanding Research Award (2007) and of the IEEE Control Systems Society Transition to Practice Award (2010). He  was presented the title of Visiting Professor by the University of Belgrade, Serbia (2010). The Dynamic Systems and Simulation Laboratory he has been heading since 1994, received the IEEE Intelligent Transportation Systems Society ITS Institutional Lead Award (2011). He was awarded an ERC Advanced Investigator Grant (2013-2018).


#158 The 9th International BinN Seminar: Behavior Model and Optimization

Date

2017年10月14日

Venue

東京大学 工学部一号館 15号教室

The 9th International BinN Seminar: Behavior Model and Optimization


10/14 (Sat)
13:00-14:30     Keynote Lecture 基調講義
Behavior Model and Optimization
ProfMichel Bierlairel (EPFL)


#154 留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」

Date

2017年9月7日

Venue

Hongo campus, The University of Tokyo

留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」


留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」 募集要項

この度、下記の通り、東京大学大学院(社会基盤学専攻)、政策研究大学院大学並びに JR東日本、東京メトロ、東急電鉄、三井不動産、海外鉄道技術協力協会の共同で、留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」を開催いたします。特に東京を題材として、市街地がどのように都市鉄道を使いながら発展してきたのか、またそれを支えているのはどのような技術やシステムなのかについて、トップクラスの専門家や実務者等による総合的な講義に加え、ターミナル駅や都市開発事例の見学なども通じて、日本で学ぶ留学生を中心とする学生諸君に学んでもらおうというものです。
奮ってご応募くださいますよう、お待ち申し上げております。

都市鉄道セミナー実行委員会委員長
政策研究大学院大学
教授 家田 仁


1.スケジュール
2017年9月7日(木)~9月8日(金)の1泊2日、詳細は下記をご覧ください。
http://www.trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/urbanrailseminar/TentativeSchedule2017.pdf

2.参加者の負担金
・資料代として3,000円を申し受けます。
・9月7日の懇親会費及び宿泊費(但し主催者側が用意したホテルに滞在する場合に限る)は主催者側が負担します。
・それ以外の食事代と交通費は自己負担とします。

3.募集定員
日本の大学の大学院で学んでいる留学生30名、日本人大学生・大学院生10名を定員とします。

4.応募資格
応募資格のある学生は、交通や都市・国土プロジェクトの計画や実施など総合的工学、経済・政策系の学問、機械工学・電気工学など個別工学を専門分野としている学生のうち、以下の条件を満たしている方とします。
・日本の大学或いは大学院に所属していること。
・日本の大学或いは大学院に所属する教員の指導を受けていること。
・下記「8」の注意事項の全てについて同意できること。

5.募集期間と応募方法
・募集期間は2017年6月30日(金)23:59 JST までとします。
・応募者はこちらの応募書類を全て記入し、下記連絡先までメールで送付してください。日本人応募者は日本語を使用しても構いません。
http://www.trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/urbanrailseminar/ApplicationFormSSSIS2017.docx

6.参加者の審査
・応募者多数が予想されるため、応募書類によって審査をさせていただき、参加者を選考します。
・審査にあたっては、各主催組織メンバーからなる審査委員会を設けます。
・審査の視点は、都市鉄道や地域開発に関する基礎知識、セミナー参加の動機、将来従事したい仕事とします。

7.参加者の決定と連絡
2017年7月18日(火)までに、全応募者に参加の可否をメールにて連絡します。

8.注意事項
・9月7日の夜の宿泊場所は主催者側で用意するため、手配は必要ありません。ただし、東京近郊在住の場合、宿泊を遠慮していただく場合があります。
・暑い時期ですのでクールビズで結構ですが、節度ある服装をお願いします。
・各自の責任で適切な傷害保険に加入していることを前提とします。
・参加が不可能になった場合は8月7日までに必ず連絡してください。それ以降のキャンセルは認めません。
・その他、主催者の指示には従ってください。

9.使用言語
原則として英語とします。

10.連絡先
都市鉄道セミナー実行委員会
委員長  家田 仁 (東京大学・政策研究大学院大学、教授)
副委員長 加藤 浩徳 (東京大学、教授)
副委員長 中井 雅彦 (JR東日本、常務取締役)
副委員長 山村 明義 (東京メトロ、専務取締役)
副委員長 城石 文明 (東急電鉄、取締役・執行役員・鉄道事業本部長)
副委員長 山川 秀明 (三井不動産、開発企画部長)
問合せ先e-mail: urbanrailseminar@trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
(加藤浩徳、森川想・東京大学)


#155 28th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Solving Path Problems in Network Traffic Assignment

Date

2017年7月13日

Venue

東京工業大学 大岡山キャンパス 緑が丘6号館 Midorigaoka Build. #6, Ookayama Campus, Tokyo Institute of Technology

28th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Solving Path Problems in Network Traffic Assignment


Date:13th July (Thu.) 2017

Time:14:00 – 17:00

http://www.transport-titech.jp/seminar_visitor.html

Lecture 1
Title:Another Alternative to Dial’s Logit Assignment Algorithm on All Acyclic Paths
Speaker:Dr. Takeshi Nagae (Tohoku University) and Shin-ichi Inoue (The Institute of Behavioral Sciences)

Lecture 2
Title:Why does proportionality matter in traffic assignment and how to achieve it?
Speaker:Prof. Yu (Marco) Nie (Northwestern University)
Abstract for Lecture 2:
The proportionality condition has been widely used to produce a unique path flow solution in the user equilibrium traffic assignment problem.   In this talk I will first explain why proportionality offers a conceptually simple, practically viable and computationally efficient approach to determining a path flow solution that approximately conforms to the principle of entropy maximization.  I will then address two hitherto open questions: (1) whether and to what extent does the proportionality condition accord to real travel behavior; and (2)  how to develop an efficient algorithm that guarantees finding a solution to satisfy the proportionality condition strictly?  To answer the first question, we mine a large taxi trajectory data set to obtain millions of route choice observations, and uncover hundreds of valid paired alternative segments (PAS) from the data.  The results obtained by performing linear regression analysis and chi-square tests show that the majority of the PASs tested (up to 85%) satisfy the proportionality condition at a reasonable level of statistical significance.    To answer the second question, we propose a novel algorithm.  It alternates between constructing an origin-based and a destination-based bush representation of user equilibrium solutions, and iteratively solves the entropy maximization subproblem defined for each bush.  Thanks to the special structure of bushes, these subproblems can be solved efficiently. The proposed algorithm thus obviates enumerating all UE paths or collecting a set of paired alternative segments (PAS) to cover them.  We prove that the algorithm ensures convergence to a solution that perfectly satisfies the proportionality condition in general networks.   The proposed algorithm solves the problem much faster than the known alternatives, with a speedup of 3 – 8 times on large networks.
Short Bio. of Dr. Yu (Marco) Nie:
Dr. Marco Nie is currently an Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Northwestern University. He received his B.S. in Structural Engineering from Tsinghua University, his M.Eng. from National University of Singapore and his Ph.D. from the University of California, Davis.  Dr. Nie’s research covers a variety of topics in the areas of transportation systems analysis, transportation economics, sustainable transportation and traffic flow theory and simulation.  Dr. Nie is currently a member of TRB committee on Transportation Network Modeling (ADB30). He also serves as an Associate Editor for Transportation Science, an Area Editor for Networks and Spatial Economics, and is a member of the Editorial Advisory Board for Transportmetrica-B and Transportation Research Part B. Dr. Nie’s research has been supported by National Science Foundation, Transportation Research Board, US Department of Transportation, US Department of Energy, and Illinois Department of Transportation.


#157 Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities

Date

2017年7月7日

Venue

Room C2-301, Department of Engineering, Kobe University

Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities


– Date and time: 7th July, 10:40 – 12:10
– Speaker: Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas, Glasgow University, UK
– Title: “Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities”
– Venue: Room C2-301, Department of Engineering, Kobe University.
Abstract:
Gating is a practical scheme to prevent monocentric cities from overload in the sense of limiting the traffic flow entrance to a number of controlled gates at the periphery, whenever the central district is close to overload. In this talk, we present a multigated perimeter traffic flow control scheme for monocentric cities. The proposed scheme determines optimally distributed input flows (or feasible entrance link green times) for a number of controlled gates located at the periphery of a protected monocentric city. A macroscopic model is employed to describe the traffic dynamics of the protected central district. To describe traffic dynamics outside of the protected area, we augment the basic state-space model with additional state variables to account for the queues at store-and-forward origin links at the periphery. We aim to equalise the relative queues at origin links and maintain the vehicle accumulation in the protected network around a desired point, while the system’s throughput is maximised. The perimeter traffic flow control problem is formulated as a convex optimisation problem with constrained control and state variables. For real-time control, the optimisation problem is embedded in a rolling-horizon control scheme using the current state of the whole system as the initial state as well as predicted demand flows at entrance links. A meticulous simulation study is carried out for a 2.5 square mile protected network area of San Francisco, CA, including fifteen gates of different geometric characteristics. Results demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed approach and its equity properties to better manage excessive queues outside of the protected network area and optimally distribute the input flows. It is expected that similar policies can also be utilised for dynamic road pricing.
Short Bio:
Dr Konstantinos Ampountolas is a Lecturer in Transport Engineering in the School of Engineering at the University of Glasgow, UK. He received the Dipl.-Eng. degree in Industrial Engineering and Management, and MSc, PhD degrees in Operations Research, all from the Technical University of Crete, Greece. Before to joining Glasgow, he was research fellow at École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne, Switzerland, visiting research scholar at the University of California, Berkeley, and post-doctoral researcher at the Centre for Research and Technology Hellas, Greece. He was visiting professor at Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, Israel, and at Federal University of Santa Catarina, Brazil. His research interests include traffic flow modelling, simulation and management, and transport informatics. Dr Ampountolas serves on the Editorial Advisory Boards of Transportation Research Part C and Transportation Research Procedia. He is currently co-Investigator of the Urban Big Data Centre (http://ubdc.ac.uk) funded by the UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC).


#156 The 8th of International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis and Clustring in Unsteady Networks”

Date

2017年7月5日

Venue

Room 409, Building #1, the University of Tokyo

The 8th of International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis and Clustring in Unsteady Networks”


The 8th International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis in Unsteady Networks” will be held on July 5th 2015. As keynote speakers, we will invite Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas from University of Glasgow. Dr. Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas is currently doing research on network analysis and in the seminar, keynote lectures would focus on functional distributional algorithm for clustering heterogeneous traffic networks using spatiotemporal data.  In addition, we discuss about new approaches of unsteady behavioral modeling with two researchers’ presentation.

Program

Ashwini Venkatasubramaniama,b,c, Ludger Eversa, and Konstantinos Ampountolas*, School of Mathematics & Statistics, Urban Big Data Centre (UBDC) http://ubdc.ac.uk University of Glasgow, UK

Title:

Functional distributional clustering of traffic networks for spatio-temporal data

Abstract:

Clustering analysis provides a selection of a finite collection of templates that well represent, in some sense, a large collection of data. Nowadays clustering has many applications in engineering, computer science, social and life sciences, due to the availability of large volumes of data from user-generated content and emerging infrastructure-based sensors. In this talk, we present a functional distributional algorithm for clustering heterogeneous traffic networks using spatiotemporal data. The proposed algorithm seeks to identify spatially contiguous clusters in Manhattan-like grid networks and has the ability to accommodate temporal data with bi-modal characteristics. The algorithm draws on a measure of distance that utilises (cumulative distribution) functions of observations rather than functions of clusters. We describe methods to determine the optimal number of clusters within a hierarchical agglomerative clustering framework. This helps to evaluate the similarity between distinct identified clusters and “true” clusters to measure the algorithm’s performance. Results demonstrate that the proposed functional distributional clustering algorithm has a greater ability to efficiently identify clusters compared to functional only and temporal only algorithms. On-going work on dynamic clustering seeks to identify clusters that change over time.

Sachiyo Fukuyama

Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo

Title: Network analysis for urban planning based on the historical development process

Abstract:

We propose a method of network analysis to figure out the spatial structure and characteristics of urban districts, which are assumed to be important for efficient urban planning and renovation. We use a simple index that reflect route choice behavior for analyzing road networks in the periods before behavioral surveys started. For a case study, we apply the method to the historical networks of the old city of Barcelona and find the relation between the streets of high centrality and the placement of open spaces.

Eiji Hato and Samal Dharmarathna*

Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo

*Presenter

Title:

Unsteady travel behavior under uncertainty in densified networks

Abstract:

Understanding the travellers’ behavior under uncertainty is essential to minimize the congestion and maintain the service level of densified networks during unexpected events such as earthquakes or extreme weather events. During such events, drivers’ pre-trip decisions are get disturbed and it becomes quite obvious to assume that their cognition and decision-making mechanisms are more myopic as the network condition is likely to be stochastic. But still there is some space that drivers could use their spatial knowledge on the network to choose the route.

This on-going study tries to cope with both these concepts by using the generalized recursive logit (GRL) model and compare the differences, by using the probe taxi data collected in Tokyo during the period of Great East Japan Earthquake occurred on 11th March 2011 and torrential rain occurred on 23rd July 2013. Gridlock phenomena has occurred in Tokyo for the first time, after the earthquake due to the temporary shutdown of the metropolitan expressway and all railways for checking purposes. The behavior of the sequential discount rate which generalize the drivers’ decision making dynamics and represent the degree of spatial recognition of network as a parameter is compared along with other parameters such as travel time and right turn dummy within the event by using similar data collected exactly one week before and after the earthquake respectively on 04th and 18th of March 2011. During the event of torrential rain, some of the links that has under passes and depressions were inundated and the cars or taxies couldn’t move across. Hence the travellers’ use such routes under normal circumstances had to choose alternative routes. In this case also, the aforementioned parameters were estimated and compared within the event by using the similar data collected exactly one week after the event on 30th July 2013. In addition, we would like to present the comparison of parameters between the two events as well.


#152 Lecture Series on "Future Urban Mobility and Public Transportation -Challenges and Values-"

Date

2017年6月26日

Venue

熊本大学,国土技術政策総合研究所,東京大学生産技術研究所

Lecture Series on "Future Urban Mobility and Public Transportation -Challenges and Values-"


The second batch of lecture series by Prof. Avi Ceder will be held below, that wold be a good opportunity. Please join at the closest venue if you are interested in. It requires no registration and is free of charge.
Lecture Series on “Future Urban Mobility and Public Transportation -Challenges and Values-“
– Speaker: Prof. Avishai Ceder
– Affiliation: Professor at Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Honorary Professor at the University of Auckland, and Visiting Professor of Hiroshima University
– Lecture 5: 15:00-16:30, June 26 at Room 211, Kurokami South C8 (Faculty of Engineering Building 2) Kumamoto University, hosted by Prof. Mizokami in Kumamoto.
– Lecture 6: 10:15-11:45, June 30 at Conference Room, Asahi Office, National Institute for Land and Infrastructure Management, hosted by Dr. Setoshita in Tsukuba.
– Lecture 7: 16:00-17:30, June 30 at Room As313/314, 3F, Institute of Industrial Science, University of Tokyo, hosted by Prof. Oguchi in Tokyo.


#153 How can the Taxi Industry Survive the Tide of Ridesourcing? Evidence from Shenzhen, China

Date

2017年6月20日

Venue

京都大学桂キャン パスCクラスター C1-314(C1棟会議室3)

How can the Taxi Industry Survive the Tide of Ridesourcing? Evidence from Shenzhen, China


題目:  How can the Taxi Industry Survive the Tide of Ridesourcing? Evidence from Shenzhen, China.
講師:    Prof. Yu (Marco) Nie; Northwestern University
日時:    06月20日(火) 16:00~17:30
場所:    京都大学桂キャン パスCクラスター C1-314(C1棟会議室3)
参加を希望される方は,京都大学のシュマッカー准教授(schmoecker[atmark]trans.kuciv.kyoto-u.ac.jp)までご連絡ください.
(※[atmark]を@に置き換えてください)
Abstract: This talk discusses the impact of ridesourcing on the taxi industry and explores where, when and how taxis can compete more effectively. To this end  a large taxi GPS trajectory data set collected in Shenzhen, China is mined and  more than 2,700 taxis (or about 18% of all registered in the city) are tracked in a period of three years, from January 2013 to November 2016. The long sequence of GPS data points is first broken into separate “trips”,  each corresponding to a unique passenger state, an origin/destination zone, and a starting/ending time. By examining the trip statistics, we found that ridesourcing had worsened congestion during its expansion phase in 2015, but the overall impact was small.   The taxi industry in Shenzhen has experienced a significant loss in its ridership since early 2015.  Yet, the evidence is strong that the shock was relatively short and that the loss of the taxi industry had begun to stabilize since the second half of 2015.  Data also show that taxi drivers had learned to cope with the competition from ridesourcing by gradually adjusting their search efforts to concentrate in areas with denser population and greater probability of generating profitable trips.  We conclude that a dedicated service fleet with exclusive street-hailing access will continue to co-exist with ridesourcing and that regulations are needed to ensure this market operate properly.
About the speaker: Dr. Marco Nie is currently an Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Northwestern University. He received his B.S. in Structural Engineering from Tsinghua University, his M.Eng. from National University of Singapore and his Ph.D. from the University of California, Davis.  Dr. Nie’s research covers a variety of topics in the areas of transportation systems analysis, transportation economics, sustainable transportation and traffic flow theory and simulation.  Dr. Nie is currently a member of TRB committee on Transportation Network Modeling (ADB30). He also serves as an Associate Editor for Transportation Science, an Area Editor for Networks and Spatial Economics, and is a member of the Editorial Advisory Board for Transportmetrica-B and Transportation Research Part B. Dr. Nie’s research has been supported by National Science Foundation, Transportation Research Board, US Department of Transportation, US Department of Energy, and Illinois Department of Transportation.