#161 Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism
Date
2017年12月14日
Venue
京都大学 防災研究所 大会議室 S519D
Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism
日時:12月14日 16:00-17:30
場所:京都大学 防災研究所 大会議室 S519D
宇治市五ケ庄 最寄駅:JR黄檗(奈良線)、京阪黄檗
講師: Prof. Adam Rose
Price School of Public Policy and Center for Risk and Economic Analysis of Terrorism Events (CREATE), University of Southern California
講演題目:Measuring Economic Resilience to Natural Disasters and Terrorism
要旨:
Resilience is a powerful strategy for reducing losses from disasters. Its unique character pertains to how best to recover economic activity after a disaster has struck. This can be done by using remaining resources as effectively as possible and accelerating the repair and reconstruction of the capital stock. This presentation will focus on recent advances in measuring economic resilience in a variety of contexts, such as electricity outages, seaport disruptions, hurricanes, and earthquakes. Results of recent survey research will be presented and their implications for development of an economic resilience index will be described. A broader benefit-cost analysis framework will be explained for making resource allocation decisions, including trade-offs between (pre-event) mitigation and (post-event) resilience.
#160 Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic
Date
2017年11月7日
Venue
神戸大学六甲台第2キャンパス 自然科学総合研究棟3号館1階125室
Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic
– Speaker: Dr. Adam J Pel, TU Delft, the Netherlands
– Title: “Making route choice and traffic flow models more realistic, but not more complex”
– Venue: Room 125, Science & Technology Research Building No. 3, 1F
– Place : Rokkodai 2nd Campus, Department of Engineering, Kobe University.
http://www.kobe-u.ac.jp/en/
In this seminar I will talk about route choice models and traffic flow models as these are used in road network modelling. Road network models simulate drivers’ behaviour and how their decisions are both based on, and collectively lead to, the emerging traffic flows and congestion conditions.
I will present several existing types of models, from basic to complex, and discuss their underlying assumptions on traffic behaviour and their suitability for various modelling applications. I will present in more detail a few recent studies at Delft University of Technology on: a route choice model that incorporates dynamic rerouting behaviour; a static traffic flow model that incorporates ‘dynamic’ traffic flow congestion; and a first-order traffic flow model that incorporates some second-order traffic flow phenomena.Bio:
Dr. Adam Pel is Assistant Professor at Delft University of Technology in the Netherlands. His main research field is the resilience of road transport systems. Pel’s research group studies, on the one hand how stochastics, uncertainty, dynamics and disruptions affect transport systems, including emergencies and evacuations, and on the other hands how network design, contingency planning, and mobility and traffic management can be strategically used to increase resiliency. In his research, he often uses network modelling as research method. These models are used to assess the dynamic performance of road transport systems regarding: human factors, infrastructure, services, technologies, policies, control measures and information flows. Pel’s research group develops models for more behavioural realism, faster computation, better use of (new) data, higher precision and accuracy. Furthermore, Pel works part-time at Fileradar, a university-spinoff company, where he is lead engineer for Fileradar’s predictive data analytics, used for traffic monitoring, information and control.
#159 29th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Traffic Management in the Era of Vehicle Automation and Communication Systems (VACS)
Date
2017年10月16日
Venue
東京工業大学 大岡山キャンパス 緑が丘6号館 Midorigaoka Build. #6, Ookayama Campus, Tokyo Institute of Technology
29th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Traffic Management in the Era of Vehicle Automation and Communication Systems (VACS)
#158 The 9th International BinN Seminar: Behavior Model and Optimization
Date
2017年10月14日
Venue
東京大学 工学部一号館 15号教室
The 9th International BinN Seminar: Behavior Model and Optimization
Behavior Model and Optimization
Prof. Michel Bierlairel (EPFL)
#154 留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」
Date
2017年9月7日
Venue
Hongo campus, The University of Tokyo
留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」
留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」 募集要項
この度、下記の通り、東京大学大学院(社会基盤学専攻)、政策研究大学院大学並びに JR東日本、東京メトロ、東急電鉄、三井不動産、海外鉄道技術協力協会の共同で、留学生のための特別サマーセミナー「大都市の鉄道と地域開発2017」を開催いたします。特に東京を題材として、市街地がどのように都市鉄道を使いながら発展してきたのか、またそれを支えているのはどのような技術やシステムなのかについて、トップクラスの専門家や実務者等による総合的な講義に加え、ターミナル駅や都市開発事例の見学なども通じて、日本で学ぶ留学生を中心とする学生諸君に学んでもらおうというものです。
奮ってご応募くださいますよう、お待ち申し上げております。
都市鉄道セミナー実行委員会委員長
政策研究大学院大学
教授 家田 仁
記
1.スケジュール
2017年9月7日(木)~9月8日(金)の1泊2日、詳細は下記をご覧ください。
http://www.trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/urbanrailseminar/TentativeSchedule2017.pdf
2.参加者の負担金
・資料代として3,000円を申し受けます。
・9月7日の懇親会費及び宿泊費(但し主催者側が用意したホテルに滞在する場合に限る)は主催者側が負担します。
・それ以外の食事代と交通費は自己負担とします。
3.募集定員
日本の大学の大学院で学んでいる留学生30名、日本人大学生・大学院生10名を定員とします。
4.応募資格
応募資格のある学生は、交通や都市・国土プロジェクトの計画や実施など総合的工学、経済・政策系の学問、機械工学・電気工学など個別工学を専門分野としている学生のうち、以下の条件を満たしている方とします。
・日本の大学或いは大学院に所属していること。
・日本の大学或いは大学院に所属する教員の指導を受けていること。
・下記「8」の注意事項の全てについて同意できること。
5.募集期間と応募方法
・募集期間は2017年6月30日(金)23:59 JST までとします。
・応募者はこちらの応募書類を全て記入し、下記連絡先までメールで送付してください。日本人応募者は日本語を使用しても構いません。
http://www.trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp/urbanrailseminar/ApplicationFormSSSIS2017.docx
6.参加者の審査
・応募者多数が予想されるため、応募書類によって審査をさせていただき、参加者を選考します。
・審査にあたっては、各主催組織メンバーからなる審査委員会を設けます。
・審査の視点は、都市鉄道や地域開発に関する基礎知識、セミナー参加の動機、将来従事したい仕事とします。
7.参加者の決定と連絡
2017年7月18日(火)までに、全応募者に参加の可否をメールにて連絡します。
8.注意事項
・9月7日の夜の宿泊場所は主催者側で用意するため、手配は必要ありません。ただし、東京近郊在住の場合、宿泊を遠慮していただく場合があります。
・暑い時期ですのでクールビズで結構ですが、節度ある服装をお願いします。
・各自の責任で適切な傷害保険に加入していることを前提とします。
・参加が不可能になった場合は8月7日までに必ず連絡してください。それ以降のキャンセルは認めません。
・その他、主催者の指示には従ってください。
9.使用言語
原則として英語とします。
10.連絡先
都市鉄道セミナー実行委員会
委員長 家田 仁 (東京大学・政策研究大学院大学、教授)
副委員長 加藤 浩徳 (東京大学、教授)
副委員長 中井 雅彦 (JR東日本、常務取締役)
副委員長 山村 明義 (東京メトロ、専務取締役)
副委員長 城石 文明 (東急電鉄、取締役・執行役員・鉄道事業本部長)
副委員長 山川 秀明 (三井不動産、開発企画部長)
問合せ先e-mail: urbanrailseminar@trip.t.u-tokyo.ac.jp
(加藤浩徳、森川想・東京大学)
#155 28th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Solving Path Problems in Network Traffic Assignment
Date
2017年7月13日
Venue
東京工業大学 大岡山キャンパス 緑が丘6号館 Midorigaoka Build. #6, Ookayama Campus, Tokyo Institute of Technology
28th Tokyo Tech TSU Seminar: Solving Path Problems in Network Traffic Assignment
Date:13th July (Thu.) 2017
Time:14:00 – 17:00
http://www.transport-titech.jp/seminar_visitor.html
Lecture 1
Title:Another Alternative to Dial’s Logit Assignment Algorithm on All Acyclic Paths
Speaker:Dr. Takeshi Nagae (Tohoku University) and Shin-ichi Inoue (The Institute of Behavioral Sciences)
Lecture 2
Title:Why does proportionality matter in traffic assignment and how to achieve it?
Speaker:Prof. Yu (Marco) Nie (Northwestern University)
Abstract for Lecture 2:
The proportionality condition has been widely used to produce a unique path flow solution in the user equilibrium traffic assignment problem. In this talk I will first explain why proportionality offers a conceptually simple, practically viable and computationally efficient approach to determining a path flow solution that approximately conforms to the principle of entropy maximization. I will then address two hitherto open questions: (1) whether and to what extent does the proportionality condition accord to real travel behavior; and (2) how to develop an efficient algorithm that guarantees finding a solution to satisfy the proportionality condition strictly? To answer the first question, we mine a large taxi trajectory data set to obtain millions of route choice observations, and uncover hundreds of valid paired alternative segments (PAS) from the data. The results obtained by performing linear regression analysis and chi-square tests show that the majority of the PASs tested (up to 85%) satisfy the proportionality condition at a reasonable level of statistical significance. To answer the second question, we propose a novel algorithm. It alternates between constructing an origin-based and a destination-based bush representation of user equilibrium solutions, and iteratively solves the entropy maximization subproblem defined for each bush. Thanks to the special structure of bushes, these subproblems can be solved efficiently. The proposed algorithm thus obviates enumerating all UE paths or collecting a set of paired alternative segments (PAS) to cover them. We prove that the algorithm ensures convergence to a solution that perfectly satisfies the proportionality condition in general networks. The proposed algorithm solves the problem much faster than the known alternatives, with a speedup of 3 – 8 times on large networks.
Short Bio. of Dr. Yu (Marco) Nie:
Dr. Marco Nie is currently an Associate Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering at Northwestern University. He received his B.S. in Structural Engineering from Tsinghua University, his M.Eng. from National University of Singapore and his Ph.D. from the University of California, Davis. Dr. Nie’s research covers a variety of topics in the areas of transportation systems analysis, transportation economics, sustainable transportation and traffic flow theory and simulation. Dr. Nie is currently a member of TRB committee on Transportation Network Modeling (ADB30). He also serves as an Associate Editor for Transportation Science, an Area Editor for Networks and Spatial Economics, and is a member of the Editorial Advisory Board for Transportmetrica-B and Transportation Research Part B. Dr. Nie’s research has been supported by National Science Foundation, Transportation Research Board, US Department of Transportation, US Department of Energy, and Illinois Department of Transportation.
#157 Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities
Date
2017年7月7日
Venue
Room C2-301, Department of Engineering, Kobe University
Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities
– Speaker: Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas, Glasgow University, UK
– Title: “Multi-gated perimeter traffic flow control of monocentric cities”
– Venue: Room C2-301, Department of Engineering, Kobe University.
#156 The 8th of International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis and Clustring in Unsteady Networks”
Date
2017年7月5日
Venue
Room 409, Building #1, the University of Tokyo
The 8th of International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis and Clustring in Unsteady Networks”
The 8th International BinN Research Seminar “Dynamic Behavior Analysis in Unsteady Networks” will be held on July 5th 2015. As keynote speakers, we will invite Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas from University of Glasgow. Dr. Dr. Konstantinos Ampountolas is currently doing research on network analysis and in the seminar, keynote lectures would focus on functional distributional algorithm for clustering heterogeneous traffic networks using spatiotemporal data. In addition, we discuss about new approaches of unsteady behavioral modeling with two researchers’ presentation.
Program
Ashwini Venkatasubramaniama,b,c, Ludger Eversa, and Konstantinos Ampountolas*, School of Mathematics & Statistics, Urban Big Data Centre (UBDC) http://ubdc.ac.uk University of Glasgow, UK
Title:
Functional distributional clustering of traffic networks for spatio-temporal data
Abstract:
Clustering analysis provides a selection of a finite collection of templates that well represent, in some sense, a large collection of data. Nowadays clustering has many applications in engineering, computer science, social and life sciences, due to the availability of large volumes of data from user-generated content and emerging infrastructure-based sensors. In this talk, we present a functional distributional algorithm for clustering heterogeneous traffic networks using spatiotemporal data. The proposed algorithm seeks to identify spatially contiguous clusters in Manhattan-like grid networks and has the ability to accommodate temporal data with bi-modal characteristics. The algorithm draws on a measure of distance that utilises (cumulative distribution) functions of observations rather than functions of clusters. We describe methods to determine the optimal number of clusters within a hierarchical agglomerative clustering framework. This helps to evaluate the similarity between distinct identified clusters and “true” clusters to measure the algorithm’s performance. Results demonstrate that the proposed functional distributional clustering algorithm has a greater ability to efficiently identify clusters compared to functional only and temporal only algorithms. On-going work on dynamic clustering seeks to identify clusters that change over time.
Sachiyo Fukuyama
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo
Title: Network analysis for urban planning based on the historical development process
Abstract:
We propose a method of network analysis to figure out the spatial structure and characteristics of urban districts, which are assumed to be important for efficient urban planning and renovation. We use a simple index that reflect route choice behavior for analyzing road networks in the periods before behavioral surveys started. For a case study, we apply the method to the historical networks of the old city of Barcelona and find the relation between the streets of high centrality and the placement of open spaces.
Eiji Hato and Samal Dharmarathna*
Department of Civil Engineering, University of Tokyo
*Presenter
Title:
Unsteady travel behavior under uncertainty in densified networks
Abstract:
Understanding the travellers’ behavior under uncertainty is essential to minimize the congestion and maintain the service level of densified networks during unexpected events such as earthquakes or extreme weather events. During such events, drivers’ pre-trip decisions are get disturbed and it becomes quite obvious to assume that their cognition and decision-making mechanisms are more myopic as the network condition is likely to be stochastic. But still there is some space that drivers could use their spatial knowledge on the network to choose the route.
This on-going study tries to cope with both these concepts by using the generalized recursive logit (GRL) model and compare the differences, by using the probe taxi data collected in Tokyo during the period of Great East Japan Earthquake occurred on 11th March 2011 and torrential rain occurred on 23rd July 2013. Gridlock phenomena has occurred in Tokyo for the first time, after the earthquake due to the temporary shutdown of the metropolitan expressway and all railways for checking purposes. The behavior of the sequential discount rate which generalize the drivers’ decision making dynamics and represent the degree of spatial recognition of network as a parameter is compared along with other parameters such as travel time and right turn dummy within the event by using similar data collected exactly one week before and after the earthquake respectively on 04th and 18th of March 2011. During the event of torrential rain, some of the links that has under passes and depressions were inundated and the cars or taxies couldn’t move across. Hence the travellers’ use such routes under normal circumstances had to choose alternative routes. In this case also, the aforementioned parameters were estimated and compared within the event by using the similar data collected exactly one week after the event on 30th July 2013. In addition, we would like to present the comparison of parameters between the two events as well.
#152 Lecture Series on "Future Urban Mobility and Public Transportation -Challenges and Values-"
Date
2017年6月26日
Venue
熊本大学,国土技術政策総合研究所,東京大学生産技術研究所
Lecture Series on "Future Urban Mobility and Public Transportation -Challenges and Values-"
#153 How can the Taxi Industry Survive the Tide of Ridesourcing? Evidence from Shenzhen, China
Date
2017年6月20日
Venue
京都大学桂キャン パスCクラスター C1-314(C1棟会議室3)
How can the Taxi Industry Survive the Tide of Ridesourcing? Evidence from Shenzhen, China